January 20, 2020

The territory of the State shall comprise all the territories

Before its accession Jammu & Kashmir was governed in terms of The Jammu & Kashmir Constitution Act promulgated in 1939. What was considered to be the political mainstream in Kashmir has effectively disappeared. Moreover, with the Iranian issue back on the front burner, Pakistan will have a role to play in the US scheme of things. This arrangement continued until the state adopted its own Constitution. 


The US needs Pakistan ever more if the US-Taliban deal has to succeed. If you fail to drive a wedge between the populace and the insurgent — the insurrectionary would win. However, there are also the standard bearers of the Indian Union in the Vale of Kashmir namely the China Vacuum bags National Conference and the Indian National Congress stretching back again to independence. With the dismemberment of the original state of J&K that claim becomes a non-sequitor. For in both bilateral and multilateral negotiations India would not be able to say that we are wanting control over the original state of J&K as acceded to India on October 27, 1947, by Maharaja Hari Singh for that state no longer exists.Now with the government having bifurcated the state into two what happens to the Constitution of the undivided state of J&K? For no one can abrogate that Constitution and it has no self-destruct provision in its 12 Parts and 147 Articles.

The International Grey: India’s whole case for the return of Pakistan-occupied Kashmir and the Northern Territories rests on the Instrument of Accession, an Article of the Jammu and Kashmir Constitution and two resolutions of Parliament. Even the Parliament of India cannot rescind it for it has been framed by an elected constituent assembly much like the Indian Constitution itself.The Political Grey: Going all the way back to 1947 there is a sizeable section of people in Kashmir who have rooted for autonomy, self rule, independence and merger with Pakistan.The Security Grey: It is a well-known security canon that if a militant movement has popular support it is near impossible to contain it, much less neutralise it.

The Strategic Grey: Pakistan is back in the game not only in Kashmir but also in the region.” The two resolutions of 1994 and 2012 state that the only unfinished business of Partition are those parts of J&K illegally occupied by Pakistan and ceded to China.That is why I told the Home Minister in the Lok Sabha on August 6, 2019, that between the black and white there are 50 shades of grey in Jammu & Kashmir. The current bifurcation has completely cut the legs out from under the regional parties, namely the NC and PDP. The repercussions of the negation of the political mainstream would be grave in the years to come. Then there is always the ISIS to fill the vacuum if the demobilised Afghan fighters are unwilling to become guns for hire for the Pakistani deep state. The most contemporary counterinsurgency manual, authored by General David Petraeus in 2006 and applied in Iraq and later Afghanistan, is premised upon certain fundamental principles that go the heart of COIN (Counter Insurgency) operations.

This unravelling of J&K has weakened our case in the chanceries and conference rooms of the world. (Photo: AP) By balkanising the state of Jammu & Kashmir and reconfiguring its constitutional relationship with the Indian Union, the NDA/BJP government has entered into a grey area whose shades are going challenge the resilience of the Indian state. Para seven of the Instrument of Accession signed by Maharaja Hari Singh on October 26, 1947, explicitly stated, "nothing in this Instrument shall be deemed to commit me in any way to acceptance of any future Constitution of India or to fetter my discretion to enter into arrangements with the Government of India under any such future Constitution”. That is why a special mechanism was adopted by the Constituent Assembly on October 17, 1949, in the form of Article 370 to cement the relationship between the Indian Union and Jammu & Kashmir to move it beyond the Instrument of Accession. Article 4 of the J&K Constitution states, 

The territory of the State shall comprise all the territories which on the 15th day of August, 1947, were under the sovereignty or suzerainty of the ruler of the State. If one was to argue that with the bifurcation the Constitution has become a dead letter it can equally be argued that then the relationship between India and Jammu and Kashmir is now back to the terms of the Instrument of Accession dehors the constitutional sophistry of 2019. It remained in session till November 17, 1956, wherein it adopted a Constitution that came into force on November 26, 1957.The Constitutional Grey: Beyond ignoring the letter and spirit of Article 3 and the repeal of Article 370 there are other constitutional issues that have also been disregarded. It is ironical that three former chief ministers of Jammu & Kashmir Farooq Abdullah, Omar Abdullah and Mehbooba Mufti (who was till recently an ally of the BJP) and their families are in incarceration.The government needed to apply the healing touch rather than alienate the Kashmiris at this juncture.

After the last round of intense militant activity in the mid 1990s that saw killings of the leaders and cadres of mainstream political parties they still persevered and between 1996 and 2019 over four assembly elections and seven parliamentary elections reaffirmed their faith in the Indian democratic system. Article 3 of the said Constitution integrated the state inalienably into India by stating that Jammu & Kashmir shall be an integral part of India.Article 370 became all the more germane for on November 26, 1949, rajpramukhs of all the other the princely states that had acceded to the Union of India signed and adopted the Constitution in its entirety, except by the Maharaja, Jammu and Kashmir. Simply translated it means winning the hearts and minds of the people.The government needed to apply the healing touch rather than alienate the Kashmiris at this juncture. Over a period of time various other political outfits like the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) founded in 1999 also joined this endeavour. Whatever militant capacity the US- Taliban deal would free up will all come to Kashmir. Kashmiris walks past paramilitary troops patrolling a street in Srinagar on Saturday.

To make Jammu & Kashmir’s integration with India permanent an elected Constituent Assembly was convened on the 31st of October, 1951. They are intertwined and overlap and therefore the slogan of azadi means different things to different people. In the long war against militancy in Punjab the inflection point came when a popular government even on a thin electoral base was restored in 1992. Currently also the government is negotiating to end the decades-old insurgency with the Naga underground.Though other princely states also signed similar covenants but given the prevailing state of hostilities with Pakistan the situation in J&K was fraught with complexity. All these four strains are present in the body politic of Kashmir. It is obtuseness to remove the political buffer between Delhi and Srinagar and administer Kashmir from New Delhi

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January 14, 2020

This in no way applies to the procurement potential

The world of Mr Trump may be very different from what the world has so far encountered. By taking these issues head-on early in the campaign, Mr Trump hit a raw nerve that resonated with the people a reality that mainstream media in the US refused to acknowledge.India so far has been pretty nonchalant about the Trump presidency.Donald Trump has triumphed and now the show must begin in right earnest. Would Prime Minister Narendra Modi respond differently if a similar call goes out regarding the ISIS?Mr Vajpayee is a libertarian at heart; Mr Modi’s core beliefs are closer to some of the ideologically-driven foreign policy positions that the Trump administration may decide to take. 


Coupled with the desire to stride on the global stage, ignoring the reality that India is home to the second largest Muslim population that can proudly claim that none of them has even been remotely allured by the medieval caliphate vision of the ISIS, this government may inadvertently walk into a situation that can have domestic consequences as well. That’s all in the past. Over 25 ears Sixteen years after the collapse of the erstwhile Soviet Empire in December 1991 and four Presidents in the interim period when the US regarded itself to be the only superpower in the world, the sheen today is off. If the spectre of Chinese domination grows, where does that leave Australia, India, Japan, South Korea and the littoral states of the South China Sea?

The second dilemma goes out to West Asians, or what is referred to as the Middle East.Mr Trump has triumphed and now the show must begin in right earnest. Mr Trump has tweeted for a qualitative and quantitative expansion of the US nuclear arsenal. The recent general election in the US has challenged the fidelity of voting processes.. There is a general belief that while Democrats are more feted by the Indian political elite, strategic thinkers believe that Republicans are better to do business with. 

This in no way applies to the procurement potential that in any case has seen an exponential jump in the past few years. However, Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee wisely refrained from committing any Indian troops to that China Vacuum bags ill-advised venture. There has always existed a minor school of thought in the US that more is better in terms of nukes? The question that it raises what would such a world look like? Would it spark off an arms race again with a resurgent Russia? Would it compel some of the yet undeclared nuclear weapon states to go public? This would have profound implications on international security that are too horrendous to even contemplate. Even then there was a BJP-led NDA government that was charged with the remit of steering the ship of the Indian state. In that event, a power vacuum will manifest itself which China will be eager to fill. It will after the inauguration have to constantly keep figuring out if the early morning tweets represent Mr Trump’s personal view as opposed to a carefully-crafted inter-agency-driven American position articulated and executed in a calibrated manner.

While any democratic nation is entitled to elect whosever they like, the one significant thing that Mr Trump’s election underscores is the deep anxiety that Americans have about their future and what the complexities of the present world mean for the American way of life. It, on the contrary, has everything to do with projecting power and putting it to practical use. The unanimous intelligence read of the intelligence boffins presented to Mr Trump have pointed to alleged Russian interference in the US election processes? Does it have implications for other democracies around the world, specially in Europe, where a round of critical elections are coming up? These are some of the larger issues that are not country-specific.India was called upon by a previous Republican administration to weigh in when Iraq was invaded by a multinational coalition in March 2003.Immigration, the spectre of Islamic fundamentalism and the loss of its manufacturing base essentially to China were the three hot-button issues that politically correct establishment figures were unwilling to address. Roberts. What does the Trump presidency mean?The first dilemma goes out to Southeast Asians — there is a perception that the Trump administration will not be as engaged in Southeast and even North Asia as earlier US administrations have been. 

The Trump administration has already sent out some strong signals about the way it would want to shape the Israel-Palestine conflict, and though the recent Paris Conference on this festering sore of history was largely factitious, it remains to be seen as to how the new administration looking at the region with a fresh pair of eyes can come up with workable policy prescriptions. As Mr Trump surveys the swathe of territory from the Strait of Bosphorus to the Khyber Pass and beyond that to the Wagah border between India and Pakistan, it sees a region in deep turmoil. US President Donald Trump delivers his inaugural address on the West Front of the US Capitol on Friday in Washington, DC, after he was sworn in by Supreme Court Chief Justice John G.The third dilemma goes out to the ayatollahs of nuclear proliferation, arms control regimes and disarmament soothsayers. 

Would the Trump-India engagement be any different?The concerns of the Trump administration on the need to rein in ISIS, withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the lack of a conceptual framework vis-à-vis the Afghanistan-Pakistan paradigm are some of the areas to which Indian policymakers must apply their minds too. (Photo: AFP) Donald Trump assumed office as America’s 45th President on Friday.

The fourth and final dilemma goes out to cyber security mandarins. In the past eight years of the Obama presidency not a single big idea has either emerged or has been conceptually incubated by the two countries. Does India fit into any of these concerns?One of the frameworks that ostensibly attract the new American administration is the size of the Indian defence establishment and its intrinsic institutional capacity. We surely do live in interesting times

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January 06, 2020

While Hoffman is trying to look out for his boys Kinza

Hopped up on a potent mix of uppers, downers and adrenaline and the luxury of immunity, Hoffman staggers around, almost summing up, in a nutshell, the brashness of the "invader” persona whose boss is still obsessed with finding WMDs and once ordered an airstrike on a model tank.Escape from Baghdad! is also blissfully devoid of the moralising, the "with us or against vacuum compressed bag us” mantra which dominated the post-2001 global landscape and also crept into fiction. 


Escape from Baghdad! is one of those wondrous books that will appeal to readers who may be stuck in a genre or style.Saad Z. The trio end up encountering the "Lion of Akkad” — a mysterious, otherworldly, superhuman-like character — from among whose possessions they go on to steal an even more mysterious watch.The intersection of these two threads is almost seamless; as if the narratives are taking place in neighbouring lanes. It shakes loose all the human garbage that exists on the fringes of society,” says one of the characters in the book. Kinza and Dagr, with Captain Hamid in tow, are now on the lam, trying to manoeuvre their way in a place where loyalties and strongholds are constantly shifting. 

It has none of the sanctimonious nature of Robert Langdon, the protagonist of the historical thrillers by Dan Brown, who seems more caricature than character. Thompson-esque character of "Colonel” Hoffman, an apparent black-ops soldier just as notorious inside the fortified green zone as he can be inane outside, though he has mysterious levels of access within the myriad remnants of Iraqi bureaucracy and the new militias and gunrunners. Hossain’s storytelling — the language, the jabs, the vivid descriptions — is worthy of applause. After all, this is a novel set in a post-invasion Baghdad where — almost like a tableau — a war is being played out between a loose nexus of militias, remnants of the Baathist regime and the United States’ forces. Escape from Baghdad! is theoretically about these human garbage-esque characters who exist on the fringe of society and the fringes of war.”

Escape from Baghdad! begins with the adventures of Kinza and Dagr, strongmen minted in the post-war era, described as "purveyors of medicine, gossip, diesel and specialty ammunition,” who, after taking a former government interrogator Captain Hamid captive, are taken in by a legend he tells of the Mosul hideout of Tariq Aziz, Saddam Hussein’s former foreign minister, that is full of gold. There are only a couple of moments where Hossain makes an explicit point; in one scene, Sabeen snaps at Hoffman: What kind of person makes up ridiculous lies about a random country, invades it, destroys all its civil institutions, brands all its citizens as terrorists, causes a civil war, and then pretends everything is alright Thankfully, Hossain never sets out to answer that question. Hossain’s turn of phrase guides the characters into this magical, drifting place: a Baghdad in flux."War sometimes has a purifying effect. Hamid, for example, is the "Mother Teresa of black holes” and a night time scene starts off thus: 

The darkness in the streets was a smear of tar, a discombobulating colorant turning harmless daylight noises into the snickering of hyenas. There are moments of sudden, guilty laughter and thrilling scenes leading up to a big revelation. Sabeen is then the guide of sorts of another trio that comprises her, Hoffman and former Iraqi spy Behruse, who set out on another journey that delves into the labs and diaries of a scientist on the cusp of revealing something that binds everything — the watch, the mysterious "lion” and even the foundations of a security apparatus. 

Instead, Hossain lets the narrative and his characters illustrate the futility and inanity of war, as in a brilliant conversation Hoffman has with a soldier suffering from post-traumatic stress disorder. It combines all of the real-life surrealism of the 2003 war — a hunt for the elusive weapons of mass destruction lingers on in a country where overnight a tight-fisted regime made way for a loose nexus of militias with even looser affiliations — all willing to turn upon and to each other depending on their interests. In their quest to vanquish this "lion” they end up killing the son of a local militia leader who now wants to have his revenge.There is an all-consuming, almost feral quality to Escape from Baghdad, one that lends itself almost perfectly to its setting.

While Hoffman is trying to look out for his boys Kinza and Dagr, he ends up in an imbroglio courtesy an encounter with the acerbically honest and glamorously dangerous Sabeen. A classic femme fatale, Sabeen poisons Hoffman on their first meeting, which does little to detract his lust for her. As one of the characters muses: "In a vacuum, if the skin of power was donned quickly enough, if those first few rivals were put down fast, if those first adherents did not falter, then it all became real. Their escapades are guided by the brash Hunter S. Hossain’s debut novel navigates these actors and acts spectacularly. Hossain takes the best of literary genres — sci-fi, magical realism, historical fiction — using everything from djinns trapped in jars to medical mysteries involving storied figures from the past.Kinza and Dagr end up seeking refuge in the warren-like home of three aged, mysterious, almost witch-like women with a watch they can’t seem to figure out while trying not to be caught out by Hassan Salemi, the militia leader whose son they killed.

Saba Imtiaz is a freelance journalist and the author of Karachi, You’re Killing Me!. His characters take on that task with such irreverence that it makes one wish fervently for a new novel by Hossain. There is an all-consuming, almost feral quality to Escape from Baghdad, one that lends itself almost perfectly to its setting

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