January 14, 2020
This in no way applies to the procurement potential
The world of Mr Trump may be very different from what the world has so far
encountered. By taking these issues head-on early in the campaign, Mr Trump hit
a raw nerve that resonated with the people a reality that mainstream media in
the US refused to acknowledge.India so far has been pretty nonchalant about the
Trump presidency.Donald Trump has triumphed and now the show must begin in right
earnest. Would Prime Minister Narendra Modi respond differently if a similar
call goes out regarding the ISIS?Mr Vajpayee is a libertarian at heart; Mr
Modi’s core beliefs are closer to some of the ideologically-driven foreign
policy positions that the Trump administration may decide to take.
Coupled with
the desire to stride on the global stage, ignoring the reality that India is
home to the second largest Muslim population that can proudly claim that none of
them has even been remotely allured by the medieval caliphate vision of the
ISIS, this government may inadvertently walk into a situation that can have
domestic consequences as well. That’s all in the past. Over 25 ears Sixteen
years after the collapse of the erstwhile Soviet Empire in December 1991 and
four Presidents in the interim period when the US regarded itself to be the only
superpower in the world, the sheen today is off. If the spectre of Chinese
domination grows, where does that leave Australia, India, Japan, South Korea and
the littoral states of the South China Sea?
The second dilemma goes out to West
Asians, or what is referred to as the Middle East.Mr Trump has triumphed and now
the show must begin in right earnest. Mr Trump has tweeted for a qualitative and
quantitative expansion of the US nuclear arsenal. The recent general election in
the US has challenged the fidelity of voting processes.. There is a general
belief that while Democrats are more feted by the Indian political elite,
strategic thinkers believe that Republicans are better to do business with.
This
in no way applies to the procurement potential that in any case has seen an
exponential jump in the past few years. However, Prime Minister Atal Behari
Vajpayee wisely refrained from committing any Indian troops to that China Vacuum bags ill-advised
venture. There has always existed a minor school of thought in the US that more
is better in terms of nukes? The question that it raises what would such a world
look like? Would it spark off an arms race again with a resurgent Russia? Would
it compel some of the yet undeclared nuclear weapon states to go public? This
would have profound implications on international security that are too
horrendous to even contemplate. Even then there was a BJP-led NDA government
that was charged with the remit of steering the ship of the Indian state. In
that event, a power vacuum will manifest itself which China will be eager to
fill. It will after the inauguration have to constantly keep figuring out if the
early morning tweets represent Mr Trump’s personal view as opposed to a
carefully-crafted inter-agency-driven American position articulated and executed
in a calibrated manner.
While any democratic nation is entitled to elect whosever
they like, the one significant thing that Mr Trump’s election underscores is the
deep anxiety that Americans have about their future and what the complexities of
the present world mean for the American way of life. It, on the contrary, has
everything to do with projecting power and putting it to practical use. The
unanimous intelligence read of the intelligence boffins presented to Mr Trump
have pointed to alleged Russian interference in the US election processes? Does
it have implications for other democracies around the world, specially in
Europe, where a round of critical elections are coming up? These are some of the
larger issues that are not country-specific.India was called upon by a previous
Republican administration to weigh in when Iraq was invaded by a multinational
coalition in March 2003.Immigration, the spectre of Islamic fundamentalism and
the loss of its manufacturing base essentially to China were the three
hot-button issues that politically correct establishment figures were unwilling
to address. Roberts. What does the Trump presidency mean?The first dilemma goes
out to Southeast Asians — there is a perception that the Trump administration
will not be as engaged in Southeast and even North Asia as earlier US
administrations have been.
The Trump administration has already sent out some
strong signals about the way it would want to shape the Israel-Palestine
conflict, and though the recent Paris Conference on this festering sore of
history was largely factitious, it remains to be seen as to how the new
administration looking at the region with a fresh pair of eyes can come up with
workable policy prescriptions. As Mr Trump surveys the swathe of territory from
the Strait of Bosphorus to the Khyber Pass and beyond that to the Wagah border
between India and Pakistan, it sees a region in deep turmoil. US President
Donald Trump delivers his inaugural address on the West Front of the US Capitol
on Friday in Washington, DC, after he was sworn in by Supreme Court Chief
Justice John G.The third dilemma goes out to the ayatollahs of nuclear
proliferation, arms control regimes and disarmament soothsayers.
Would the
Trump-India engagement be any different?The concerns of the Trump administration
on the need to rein in ISIS, withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the
lack of a conceptual framework vis-Ã -vis the Afghanistan-Pakistan paradigm are
some of the areas to which Indian policymakers must apply their minds too.
(Photo: AFP) Donald Trump assumed office as America’s 45th President on
Friday.
The fourth and final dilemma goes out to cyber security mandarins. In the
past eight years of the Obama presidency not a single big idea has either
emerged or has been conceptually incubated by the two countries. Does India fit
into any of these concerns?One of the frameworks that ostensibly attract the new
American administration is the size of the Indian defence establishment and its
intrinsic institutional capacity. We surely do live in interesting times
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